
July 31, 2023
NEWS
TOP
ENERGY TRANSITION & POLICY
ELECTRICITY MARKETS
OIL, GAS & MINING
ANALYSIS
MUNICIPALITIES SEE MORE CONTROL OVER
RENEWABLES PROJECTS; THE MIYAGI TAX ISSUE
Miyagi Prefecture in northeast Japan has an area of 7,300 square kilometers, close to the size of Cyprus. It was an early mover in the renewables space, attracting the fourth largest Feed-in-Tariff capacities in 2014. Yet, a decade later, it has unveiled plans to install a new levy that would effectively tax every one in five yen earned by some solar and wind operators. The stance by local governments seems at odds with the national goals to double Japan’s renewables capacity this decade. However, when Japan NRG spoke with local officials, they said that their motivations are misunderstood.
AS AGRISOLAR DRAWS INTEREST, INACTIVE SOLAR TARIFF HOLDERS GET WEEDED OUT
As Japan continues to make strides in its transition to renewable energy, solar power stands out as a significant contributor, outpacing all other green sources. However, even as the country aims to achieve its ambitious target of raising the renewables share in its power mix to 36-38% by 2030, peculiar challenges in the solar sector have emerged. Slow progress in some projects has prompted the government to take action. With over 8.9 GW of certified capacity still unused, METI is starting to revoke licenses for projects that have not met promised deadlines to ensure that the solar sector operates more efficiently.
GLOBAL VIEW
A wrap of top energy news from around the world.
EVENTS SCHEDULE
A selection of events to keep an eye on in 2023.
PUBLISHER
K. K. Yuri Group
Editorial Team
Yuriy Humber (Editor-in-Chief)
John Varoli (Senior Editor, Americas)
Mayumi Watanabe (Japan)
Wilfried Goossens (Events, global)
Kyoko Fukuda (Japan)
Filippo Pedretti (Japan)
Regular Contributors
Chisaki Watanabe (Japan)
Takehiro Masutomo (Japan)
Events
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OFTEN USED ACRONYMS
| METI | The Ministry of Energy, Trade and Industry | mmbtu | Million British Thermal Units | |
| MoE | Ministry of Environment | mb/d | Million barrels per day | |
| ANRE | Agency for Natural Resources and Energy | mtoe | Million Tons of Oil Equivalent | |
| NEDO | New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization | kWh | Kilowatt hours (electricity generation volume) | |
| TEPCO | Tokyo Electric Power Company | FIT | Feed-in Tariff | |
| KEPCO | Kansai Electric Power Company | FIP | Feed-in Premium | |
| EPCO | Electric Power Company | SAF | Sustainable Aviation Fuel | |
| JCC | Japan Crude Cocktail | NPP | Nuclear power plant | |
| JKM | Japan Korea Market, the Platt’s LNG benchmark | JOGMEC | Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security | |
| CCUS | Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage | |||
| OCCTO | Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators | |||
| NRA | Nuclear Regulation Authority | |||
| GX | Green Transformation |

METI policy panel to draft new plan in power auction system to finance NPPs
(Government statement, July 26)
TAKEAWAY: See the analysis: Overview of the Long-Term Decarbonized Capacity Auction in the Jan 23, 2023 issue of Japan NRG.
METI, JFTC in talks to ease antitrust rules on green business projects
(Japan NRG, July 27)
JERA launches $300 mln VC fund for energy and tech startups
(Company statement, July 24)
MHI to lead high-temp gas reactor demo, expand hydrogen power supply
(Company statement, July 25)
TAKEAWAY: This is a project that is more about hydrogen than nuclear. Since the hydrogen manufacturing process would not create emissions, and could be done on a mass scale, Mitsubishi has designs on offering it to a number of industrial sectors such as steelmaking to help them move to cleaner processes. It may also be marketed as fuel for hydrogen power generation, feedstock for chemical products and fuel cell trucks.

Source: MHI
JAPEX, JOGMEC and Pertamina sign CCUS joint study agreement
(Company statement, July 26)
TAKEAWAY: Japan has identified Malaysia and Indonesia as potential CCS hubs and partners in the technology. This marks the identification of one of the first practical sites for the carbon injections and will be a project worth monitoring going forward.
ENEOS accelerates hydrogen development for carbon reduction goals
(S&P Global, July 21)
Australian ammonia imports log their most competitive ever in H1 2023
(Japan NRG, July 28)
Sekisui proposes World Expo 2025 exhibitors to test PSC cells
(Japan NRG, July 25)
TAKEAWAY: The govt restricts Japanese PSC players to engage with foreign counterparts, and will possibly prohibit production of PSC systems overseas as well, in a bid to protect the tech, according to a METI official. However, installing PSC systems on exhibition booths will not result in technology breaches.
Itochu and Emirates Global Aluminium to work on a sustainable aluminum supply
(Company statement, July 21)
TAKEAWAY: The extent is unclear of the aluminum supply chain that the companies plan to decarbonize — from bauxite mining to aluminum billets, foundry alloys and slabs – or further downstream. Many Japanese business leaders flew with PM Kishida and participated in the UAE-Japan Business Forum to understand the UAE’s potential to deliver cheap green hydrogen. If the UAE produces the world’s cheapest hydrogen, many Japanese companies would happily move their downstream manufacturing operations there.
JPX to restart carbon credit trading in October
(Company statement, July 26)
Market Outline
| Sales classification: | The sale targets J-CREDITS, classified into 6 types according to credit’s application (renewable energy-electricity, renewable energy-heat, energy conservation etc) |
| Nominal unit price | ¥1 |
| Sales unit | 1t-CO2 |
| Price fluctuation limit | Multiplication by 90% of the base price |
| Base price | 1. same price as stipulated in the previous trading session
2. same base price as the previous trading session |
| Order type | Limit orders only |
Source: JPX data
Shizen Energy to launch Shizen Connect to expand its energy business
(Company statement, July 25)
JFE Engineering to test CO2 capture facility for incinerators
(Company statement, July 24)
Hitachi Zosen inaugurates CO2 liquefaction facility in Switzerland
(Company Statement, July 24)
Chiyoda won a FEED contract from Sekisui Chemical for a plant to transform CO2 to CO
(Company statement, July 21)
Japan Oxygen Holdings supplies oxygen for DAC in the U.S.
(Denki Shimbun, July 24)
Mitsui and Taiyo Oil to conduct study on production of SAF
(Company statement, July 26)
Air Water will use LBM to fuel small satellite launch rockets
(Company statement, July 21)
EVs become heavier as more steel parts are used
(Japan NRG, July 26)
TAKEAWAY: EVs have been going through a cycle: battery raw material prices rise, less-expensive steel parts are used, cars become heavy and battery performances decline, and then cars become lighter by replacing heavy parts with parts made with lighter materials such as aluminum, resin and plastics. The need to be lightweight will likely be highlighted again despite new features to improve battery performances, as recent models are mounted with cameras and entertainment systems. Meanwhile, the trend to integrate different component units may create new challenges for recycling car parts.
NGK secures order for NAS batteries from Hungary
(Company statement, July 24)
Komatsu launches 20-ton excavator equipped with Li-ion battery
(Company statement, July 21)
Idemitsu cancels biomass venture with Swiss TG2
(Company statement, July 25)
Omron and Waseda Univ to develop factory energy management system
(Company statement, July 20)

Baseload market to add 2-year contracts starting August
(Denki Shimbun, July 24)
Balancing market to add new products, EPRX holds explanation session
(Denki Shimbun, July 24)
Chubu Grid to launch Japan’s first drone power line monitoring service
(Japan NRG, July 26)
TAKEAWAY: Drone inspection services are expected to significantly cut the cost of power network surveillance. Grids hire helicopters for remote area inspections. It costs ¥2 million for one helicopter flight. A state project to ramp up nationwide power networks to transmit renewable power to cities, as well as increases in offshore wind power stations, will create a strong demand for drones. Grids and renewable operators which have tested the drones for in-house use are expected to make entries into this market, as well as providers of 3-D map and data analysis tools.
Trading report shows sales down for new electricity providers
(Denki Shimbun, July 25)
Kansai Electric restarts Unit 1 at Takahama NPP
(Nikkei, July 28)
Tokyo Gas will build LNG-fired power station in Chiba
(Company statement, July 21)
Tohoku Electric begins summer electricity-saving campaign
(Nikkei, July 28)
JFE Engineering to join grid-scale battery business
(Company statement, July 27)
Kyushu Electric resumes operations at Nobata Hydropower Station
(Nikkei, July 25)
Tokai invests ¥840 million in Pure Energy, Philippines for hydro power development
(Company statement, July 24)
JERA completes acquisition of Belgium’s largest offshore wind power company
(Various, July 28)
Hitachi Energy selected to accelerate large-scale renewable integration in Scotland
(Company statement, July 2021)
Shizen Energy began environmental assessment for solar project in Iwate
(Company statement, July 21)
Osaka Gas, JA Mitsui Leasing to build 7 agrivoltaic stations
(Company statement, July 27)
TAKEAWAY: As municipalities tighten regulations on new renewable installations in order to protect forest areas, the new solar frontiers are farmlands, lakes and rivers. But new conflicts have increased. Solar farm owners complained that soil cultivation and other machine work in the area damaged and tarnished the panels, while neighbors refused to change their farming methods. See this week’s Analysis section for a deep dive on the subject.
New solar frontiers
| Prefectures with the highest number of | |
| Agrivoltaic stations | Chiba |
| Floating solar panels | Hyogo |
Shizuoka Pref gets first on-site and off-site combined PPA Service
(Company statement, July 25)
Tokyo High Court holds first session in TEPCO shareholder action over Fukushima
(Asahi Shimbun, July 25)
Chubu Electric Power plans a 21 MW onshore wind farm in Aichi
(New Energy Business, July 28)

Middle East keeps high oil import share despite output cuts
(Japan NRG, July 28)

LNG stocks fall to 1.98 million tons, lowest in 15 months
(Government data, July 26)
TAKEAWAY: Amid scorching summer heat, OCCTO forecasts maximum power demand on the week ending July 28 at 1.52 GW. Power reserve rates are over 8% for all areas meaning there is sufficient supplies at maximum demand.
While LNG stocks slipped, JERA on July 26 reduced by half the run rate of the 1 GW Higashiogishima No. 1 gas-fired power plant due to turbine problems. It will resume normal operations on August 10, according to JERA’s filing to JEPX.
LNG imports from Brunei, Indonesia slump; U.S. surges
(Japan NRG, July 28)
INPEX signs MoU on collaboration with PT Pertamina on Abadi LNG development
(Japan NRG, July 25)
BY MAYUMI WATANABE
Municipalities seek more control over renewable energy projects
Last year, a small town in western Japan shocked the renewables industry when it called for a new tax on solar projects calculated on the area that panels occupy. The idea was eventually quashed by the central government. But this year, a new and much larger regional actor has announced similar plans.
Miyagi Prefecture in northeast Japan has an area of 7,300 square kilometers, close to the size of Cyprus. It was an early mover in the renewables space, attracting the fourth largest Feed-in-Tariff capacities in 2014. Yet, a decade later, it has unveiled plans to install a new levy that would effectively tax every one in five yen earned by some solar and wind operators.
The stance by local governments seems at odds with the national goals to double Japan’s renewables capacity this decade to meet CO2 reduction targets. However, the tax plans by the regions reflect their growing concern that a general rush to add more renewables has ignored certain negative impacts on the local environment and society. The most acute today is concern that the clearing of trees for some renewables projects will expose the affected areas to risks of landslides and water shortages.
Miyagi’s tax has yet to receive approval at the national level. But its passage could alter the economics of future projects and entice other regions to add levies on a renewables sector that is already contending with rising costs and lower tariffs. When Japan NRG spoke with local officials, they explained that their motivations are misunderstood.
What happened last summer
Last year, Mimasaka City’s solar tax was a hot topic in energy circles. The city of about 26,000 people proposed a levy based on the area of solar panels. The proposal drew gasps in the renewables community and followed a trend of more and more local authorities passing ordinances to limit construction of new green energy projects.
Mimasaka’s idea, however, did not spread. None of the nearby municipalities joined. In fact, Sayo Township, Mimasaka’s neighbor, told Japan NRG that for decades the town had run a solar power station as an emergency backup resource and they believed that renewables are important. The national government gently deflected Mimasaka’s calls to review its tax idea, urging the city to hold more dialog with renewables operators.
Miyagi’s renewable tax plan is a different story. The proposal is to put a 20% tax on the operating profit of solar, wind and biomass operators that cut down over 0.5 hectares of forest to install the project. The local assembly passed the bill earlier this month. And Miyagi’s neighbors have been supportive of the cause to conserve forest resources from developments.
Miyagi has also walked back some of its initial fire, suggesting that the tax could be lifted for operators that create projects within specified Renewables Promotion Zones or those recognized by local stakeholders as “collaborative” developers. The prefecture is now taking feedback on its proposals.
The Japan Wind Power Association slammed the tax for potentially deterring wind development and hindering national climate targets. However, municipality taxes require approval from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, which could foil Miyagi’s plans as it did with Mimasaka City; though the prefecture is a bigger player. In showing flexibility of application, Miyagi may also convince the ministry that it will achieve “collaborative engagement” with developers.
Roots of the anti-wind movement
The huge irony is that local resistance to energy projects was something once solely reserved for nuclear power plants. But since last year’s energy crisis, the public acceptance of nuclear power has been rising fast. So where did this newfound resistance to renewable energy come from?
Visiting Kawasaki Township in Miyagi Prefecture feels like going back 50 years in time – there’s no rooftop solar panels on houses nor office flats. The only PV is outside the town office, powering a display with information on radioactivity levels.
Kawasaki lies around 100 kilometers northwest of the Fukushima nuclear power plant. It’s in the heart of the Zao mountain range and daylight hours are short. The town is not ideal for solar power but many developers saw a high potential in wind power. Kansai Electric (KEPCO) was one of them.
Contrary to media reports about KEPCO’s “arrogant push” to install 23 wind stations totaling 96 MW, Kawasaki township officials said the company had been in close communication with locals. “Town meetings were held, although they were under no legal obligation to do so for a plant of their size,” said one official, specifying that while KEPCO followed the right procedures, the plan itself was “wrong”.
In July 2022, the power utility scrapped the wind project plan after environmental impact assessments that followed on the back of a strong opposition from Kawasaki residents, the town authority, the Miyagi governor and the Yamagata governor. The move spread like wildfire, impacting the mood around large solar installations in the Zao area, and wind installations in Kami, Naruko, and other townships in Miyagi.
A Kawasaki official who had served as a direct interface with KEPCO said the leading concern was tearing down the mountain façade, which could cause landslides.
This fear was not unfounded. From April to 2021-February 2022, there were 33 solar power plants that reported landslide-triggered incidents to METI. Later, the ministry conducted on-site inspections of 280 solar power stations suspected of exposure to landslide risk, and it plans to make inspections annually. The high risk areas were concentrated in Hiroshima, Yamaguchi and Shimane Pref in west Japan.
In many cases, the risk arose because developers were only able to secure land with forest cover and needed to clear it to site the equipment. Or, it was the cheaper option.
Regulation through tax
In the case of Kawasaki Township, officials decided that a new tax would be effective in deterring further deforestation. On July 4, the local assembly passed the tax bill, saying a 20% rate would reflect the disciplinary purpose of the measure.
The levy is officially called a Tax to Promote Co-Habitation of Renewables and Communities. If the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications gives approval then it will take effect in April 2024. However, contrary to its name, the tax is powerful enough to kill projects. A 1 MW solar station typically requires over 0.5 hectares.
The Miyagi official estimates that 40-100 projects under construction will be subject to the new tax. Smaller solar projects comprise the majority of those numbers, but in terms of capacity onshore wind will face the bigger impact.
Project owners include local farmers converting idle property to solar power stations. Many lack manpower to look after their land and keep away herds of wild monkeys and boars that damage crops. To accommodate such cases, Miyagi Prefecture plans a new category of “project operators that have won community consensus”. These will be exempt from the tax.
The Miyagi official said despite broad media coverage, many operators found out about the tax for the first time only recently. But he stressed: “We want to block deforestation, not renewable development.”
Ripple effects
Despite the good intentions, Miyagi’s example could spur more local tax proposals elsewhere. Policies in the name of forest protection have done well over the years. In 2002, Kochi Prefecture started the country’s first forest tax levied on residents. The system spread to over 30 prefectures, and was recently embraced by the national government. From April 2024, Japan will levy forest taxes on all individual taxpayers.
From March this year, Kawasaki Township also requires operators with over 1 MW of generation capacity to take out three types of damage insurance to ensure victims of landslide incidents can be fully compensated.
For now, this has played out as a regional drama, albeit with national consequences. But it may yet come knocking on the doorsteps in Tokyo.
Many of the bigger renewables projects in the regions, including offshore wind farms, are built with the goal of sending their electricity to the big cities, including the Tokyo Metropolitan area. The distributed power system will require many new power lines and other grid facilities to run through natural terrain. A quarter of Miyagi Prefecture, for example, is designated as national park land.
Building new power transmission networks will mean cutting down lots of trees, says one contractor that works on renewables projects in the regions. Once this element is factored in, power users in cities might be asked to make their own contribution to forestry and water conservation.
Fair or not, regulatory and tax pressure on renewables seem to be a trend that’s here to stay.
Major wind installations planned in Miyagi
|
Name | Operator |
Capacity (MW) |
|
Shiraishi Kosugo | Tohoku Electric |
38 |
|
Taiwa | Eurus Energy |
60 |
|
Miyagi Yamagata | GPI |
25 |
| Inago Toge | Tohoku Electric |
79.8 |
|
Fukushima Kita | HSE |
46.2 |
|
Miyagi Kamicho Wind Farm | JRE |
42 |
|
Miyagi Seibu Furyoku | JWD |
107.5 |
|
Wind Farm Hachimoriyama | GPI |
60 |
|
Miyagi Yamagata Hokubu II | GPI |
25 |
|
Miyagi Kesennuma | Tokyu Land |
55 |
Local environment taxes
| Municipalities |
Tax description |
Year implemented |
| Kochi, Oita, Okayama, Miyagi and 32 prefectures, Yokohama City |
¥500~/ year Forest Tax to protect forest and biodiversity |
2002~ |
| Miyagi |
¥1,200~¥80,000/ year Environment Tax to fund net zero initiatives |
2011 |
| Hokkaido, Aichi, Mie, Okayama, Hiroshima, Aomori, Iwate, Akita, Shiga, Nara, Yamaguchi, Miyagi and 14 other prefectures, Kitakyushu City |
¥1,000/ ton charged on the waste deposit to fund data network, building of incineration plants, new re-use projects |
2006~ |
| Tajimi City |
¥500~ /ton Waste Reclamation Tax levied exclusively on Nagoya City |
2002 |
| Minoh City |
¥250/ square meter property development tax to fund green projects |
2016 |
| Mimasaka City |
¥50/ square meter solar panel tax |
Under consultation with stakeholders |
| Okinawa Pref |
¥1,500/ kiloliter gasoline price adjustment tax to fund fuel transport to remote islands |
1971 |
| Gifu Pref |
¥300~ Norikura Environment Preservation Tax levied on every car vehicle parking in designated areas |
2003 |
BY JAPAN NRG
BASED ON MATERIALS BY
SHIN ENERGY SHIMPO
As Agrisolar Draws Interest,
Inactive Solar Tariff Permit Holders Get Weeded Out
As Japan continues to make strides in its transition to renewable energy, solar power stands out as a significant contributor to the country’s green energy supply, outpacing all other renewable sources. However, as the country aims to achieve its ambitious target of raising the renewables share in its power mix to 36-38% by 2030, peculiar challenges in the solar sector have emerged.
The slow progress in bringing all renewables capacity with tariff licenses into operation has prompted the government to take action. With over 8.9 GW of certified capacity still unused, METI is starting to revoke licenses for projects that have not made progress or met promised deadlines; the goal is to ensure that the solar sector operates more efficiently and transparently.
One notable area that has faced challenges is agrisolar, which is the combination of solar energy and agriculture. While this innovative concept has the potential to make use of abandoned farmland and promote sustainable agricultural practices, there have been instances of non-compliance with regulations, leading to license revocations.
To address this issue and promote the right approach, several large Japanese companies have joined the agrisolar sector, developing and testing new technologies that prioritize crop growth while generating solar power.
The culling begins
As of FY2021, the ratio of renewables in Japan hit 20.3% of the total power mix. Solar accounts for the biggest contribution, finally surpassing hydropower with 8.3% of the power mix compared with the latter’s 7.5%.
The amount of installed solar capacity in Japan hit 70.7 GW at the end March 2023. In just the last three years, 14.9 GW of solar generation went into operation, METI data show. Most is driven by the state Feed-In Tariff (FIT) and Feed-In Premium plans.
However, about 8.9 GW of capacity certified under FIT or FIP hasn’t been put into operation. Concerned that some license owners are motivated more by speculative reasons or lack the ability to complete proposed projects, METI is canceling licenses when construction has not gone ahead or met other criteria.
The end of March saw the first deadline for proving to the government that a project is genuine; the result has been the culling of more than 53,000 installations with “unutilized” tariff licenses. That affected about 4.26 GW of projected capacity.
This weeding out of inactive license holders will continue. In FY2023, which ends on March 31, 2024, about 12,000 installations for 800 MW of capacity face expiry unless progress is made. In FY2024, about 21,000 facilities with a capacity of 3.2 GW will be in the same situation.
So far, non-tariff capacity additions are small. In FY2022, only about 0.5 GW of solar generation was brought online without utilizing the FIT or FIP system.

Wrong and right agriculture
There are a number of reasons why some developers have not moved forward with construction or met the deadlines set in its application for the FIT or FIP license. As METI’s own expert panels concluded, issues include the ability to secure appropriate land and finding a way to coexist with local communities, as well as an ability to keep costs in check.
One area that seems to have led to several license revocations are projects that combine solar with agriculture (called agrisolar or agrivoltaics). At the end of each quarter, the Agency for Natural Resources and Energy (ANRE) began announcing the revocation of FIT-approved business licenses. In January, one project was revoked for installing facilities without obtaining permission under the Agricultural Land Act. In April, five cases were revoked.
To make sure agrisolar is done the right way, some large domestic companies are joining the sector to develop and test new technologies. With new land for solar at a premium, and plenty of abandoned farmland nationwide, this is seen as a profitable direction both by agricultural equipment makers like Kubota and large energy firms such as oil refiner Idemitsu Kosan, which has a demonstration project for new agrisolar in paddy fields in Kisarazu City, Chiba Prefecture.
Idemitsu is testing a system that uses a tracking frame which automatically adjusts the direction of panels to follow the movement of the sun; the panels receive light on both sides. The most distinctive feature is that during the rice farming season (April to August), priority is given to irradiating crops grown under the panels in order to maintain and improve yield and quality. Outside of the growing season, the system gives priority to irradiating the solar panels.
Making these adjustments, the company seeks to show that “farming” and “power generation” are compatible and more profitable than their separate iterations. The tracking solar rack is manufactured by Yokohama-based Clean Energy Japan, which is applying for a patent that would cover the tech’s use to illuminate crops during the rice farming season.
The 45-kW test facility will also examine the cost and efficiency of operations before Idemitsu moves forward to commercial-scale, farm-based solar power generation. The demonstration period will last until September 2025.
Rice accounts for more than half of Japan’s total farmland area.
Idemitsu tests solar panels for agrisolar facilities that accommodate rice cultivation

Source: Idemitsu
Advantages of farmer-operated solar power generation
Since the modules are double-sided, the generation volumes lost to irradiating crops can be compensated for throughout the year. The project’s electricity will be sold to the public through Idemitsu Green Power, a wholly owned retail electricity provider.
An automated agrivoltaic system could bring a number of advantages to farmers. It would open up the potential for farmers to earn income from renting out their land, from electricity sales, all while continuing to operate their existing farms.
Electronic materials maker Nitto Kogyo is taking the green concept further and testing solar sharing using reused panels. It has set up a demonstration facility in Kakegawa City, Shizuoka Prefecture that has a capacity of 49.5 kW, expecting to generate 98 MWh of electricity annually. The power will be sold to an electricity trading platform run by Digital Grid.
A Nitto Kogyo subsidiary is supplying the reused panels, under which the manufacturer’s staff will cultivate olives. The site’s shading rate is about 32%. A Chiba university affiliated venture is helping the company with the cultivation plan, as well as with the required permits, etc.
The solar sector in Japan holds great promise, but addressing the slowing progress of recent solar rollouts and ensuring compliance with local and national regulations are crucial to getting the industry back on track. It will certainly benefit from market entry of new kinds of companies and from showcasing collaborations between energy developers and manufacturers.
In the coming years, the weeding out of tariff holders who fail to progress with their solar projects will continue, enabling the Japanese solar sector to operate more efficiently. By overcoming the challenges and embracing innovative approaches like agrisolar, Japan can enhance its renewable energy portfolio, drive sustainable agricultural practices, and move closer to achieving clean energy goals.
BY JOHN VAROLI
Below are some of last week’s most important international energy developments monitored by the Japan NRG team because of their potential to impact energy supply and demand, as well as prices. We see the following as relevant to Japanese and international energy investors.
China/ National grid
China is introducing more flexible power transmission arrangements into its national grid system in order to avoid a repeat of last year’s outages. In response to decreased output from hydropower plants, authorities have “rationally optimized” power transmission between provinces to send more power to the drought-stricken southwest.
Critical raw materials (CRMs)
A report by the Energy Transitions Commission says the global supply-demand gap for metals could be reduced by recycling and using less material. Take lithium: by 2030 global demand is expected to soar 600%, and will be 30% higher than projected supply. With extensive recycling and using less lithium, that gap could narrow to just 10%.
Europe/ Oil refining
After Nigeria removed fuel subsidies, which dramatically lowered the country’s domestic demand, one of Europe’s main markets for gasoline has shrunk, threatening to squeeze EU refiners. North America and West Africa, led by Nigeria, are the top destinations for EU petrol exports; the EU produces more gasoline than it uses.
Indonesia/ Oil and gas
Shell and Chevron’s sale of stakes in major projects to Pertamina, Petronas and Eni will stimulate development, enabling the country to boost flagging output, those companies said. In recent years, oil and gas production in Indonesia has been declining due to depleting reserves. “Our participation underscores the commitment to support Indonesia’s production target of 1mbpd and 12 billion cfpd of gas by 2030,” said the CEO of Petronas.
Pakistan/ LNG
Pakistan LNG Ltd and the Azeri firm, SOCAR, agreed that Azerbaijan will offer 12 low-cost LNG cargoes to Pakistan each year. However, Pakistan won’t be bound to buy the gas. Pakistan has struggled to get new long-term LNG deals since 2022 when faced with a domestic financial crunch and European demand that priced the country out of the market.
Saudi Arabia/ CRMs
Saudi Arabia launched its first foray into the global mining industry, taking a minority stake in Vale’s copper and nickel unit. A JV between Saudi Arabian Mining Co and the country’s Public Investment Fund will own 10%. Over the next decade, Vale will deploy up to $30 billion on new projects across Brazil, Canada and Indonesia to expand production of copper and nickel which are needed in EVs.
Uganda/ Oil
Despite opposition from environmentalists, France’s TotalEnergies began commercial drilling at its Tilenga petroleum project in Uganda’s west ahead of an expected start of oil production in the African country in 2025.
UK/ Battery storage
Energy infrastructure development company Carlton Power plans to build the world’s largest battery energy storage (1 GW). Construction of the £750 million battery storage begins in Q1 of 2024 and commercial operation in Q4 of 2025.
UK/ Clean energy
Octopus Energy will invest £15 billion into offshore wind by 2030. The company has $7.7 billion worth of clean energy projects globally. The new investment will generate 12 GW of renewable electricity per year. The company is looking at renewables projects globally but maintains a focus on Europe.
Wind power
The Global Wind Energy Council said a record 680 GW of wind energy capacity will be installed by 2027. Financing has been a challenge; higher energy prices have fuelled inflation and interest rates. But the expected revenues of those who plan to build wind turbines have not risen.
A selection of domestic and international events we believe will have an impact on Japanese energy
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NEWS
・METI policy panel to draft new plan in power auction system
to allow for the financing of new nuclear reactors
・METI and the competition authority hold talks to ease antitrust rules on green businesses
・JERA launches a $300 mln venture fund to invest in energy and tech startups and other funds, targeting useful tech