NOV 20, 2023
NEWS
TOP
ANALYSIS
JAPAN’S SPENT NUCLEAR FUEL DILEMMA: KEPCO SEEKS A SOLUTION
As Japan’s nuclear power industry faces a rebirth after a decade of dormancy, nuclear waste disposal is a priority. The largest nuclear power operator, KEPCO, is central to a solution. In the next six weeks, KEPCO must decide on an “interim” storage site for its spent nuclear fuel. Should it fail, then three of KEPCO’s reactors could be shut. What happens to KEPCO will have an impact on the nuclear sector nationwide.
JOBS IN JAPAN: NON-COMPETE CLAUSES, DO THEY HOLD UP?
In Japan, employees are well protected and it’s hard to fire them. Non-compete, confidentiality and ‘garden leave’ clauses appear in employment contracts worldwide, and Japan is no exception. How valid are these clauses in Japan? How can companies protect trade secrets and confidential information? Should employees be concerned about such clauses in their contracts?
GLOBAL VIEW
A wrap of top energy news from around the world.
EVENTS SCHEDULE
A selection of events to keep an eye on in 2023.
PUBLISHER
K. K. Yuri Group
Editorial Team
Yuriy Humber (Editor-in-Chief)
John Varoli (Senior Editor, Americas)
Mayumi Watanabe (Japan)
Wilfried Goossens (Events, global)
Kyoko Fukuda (Japan)
Magdalena Osumi (Japan)
Filippo Pedretti (Japan)
Tim Young (Japan)
Regular Contributors
Chisaki Watanabe (Japan)
Takehiro Masutomo (Japan)
Events
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OFTEN-USED ACRONYMS
METI |
The Ministry of Economy, |
mmbtu |
Million British Thermal Units | |
MoE |
Ministry of Environment |
mb/d |
Million barrels per day | |
ANRE |
Agency for Natural Resources and Energy |
mtoe |
Million Tons of Oil Equivalent | |
NEDO |
New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization |
kWh |
Kilowatt hours (electricity generation volume) | |
TEPCO |
Tokyo Electric Power Company |
FIT |
Feed-in Tariff | |
KEPCO |
Kansai Electric Power Company |
FIP |
Feed-in Premium | |
EPCO |
Electric Power Company |
SAF |
Sustainable Aviation Fuel | |
JCC |
Japan Crude Cocktail |
NPP |
Nuclear power plant | |
JKM |
Japan Korea Market, the Platt’s LNG benchmark |
JOGMEC |
Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security | |
CCUS |
Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage | |||
OCCTO |
Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators | |||
NRA |
Nuclear Regulation Authority | |||
GX |
Green Transformation |
Japan targets technology shift to make CCS cheaper; to create new ships
(Japan NRG, Nov 15)
TAKEAWAY: The govt sees Carbon Capture, (Utilization) and Storage as one of the most important new industries, along with efforts to build a hydrogen-focused economy. The business models that will allow this to work, however, are less clear. METI’s presentation at the CCS Forum had some inconsistencies. One was around the 2030 target for annual storage, which on one slide was described as 6-12 million tons and on another as 13 million tons, of which 30% (i.e. about 3.9 million tons) would be “exported overseas”. That suggests Japan has negotiated specific storage volumes with Malaysia (where Mitsui & Co. leads a CCS project) and Oceania (where Mitsubishi Corp and Nippon Steel are leading a Japan-backed project).
KEPCO and K Line ink contract for liquefied CO2 ship design
(Company statement, Nov 14)
Sekisui Chemical to install 1 MW perovskite power system on high-rise building
(Japan NRG, Nov 15)
TAKEAWAY: This plan suggests the company is close to establishing a PSC mass production system, which would be a major breakthrough. PSC production involves nanostructure control of chemicals, making it difficult to automate the processes. Sekisui’s PSC has a 15% power efficiency, which is not high, and thousands of PSC units would be required to achieve MW power capacities. Sekisui told Japan NRG that it plans to commercialize PSCs in 2025 but declined to elaborate where the modules will be produced.
METI allocates ¥860 billion for GX promotion, ¥2 billion to mitigate curtailment
(Denki Shimbun, Nov 13)
METI sets up DAC working group, to launch in January
(Denki Shimbun, Nov 13)
ANRE outlines preliminary criteria for hydrogen supply chain subsidies
(Government statement, Nov 14)
TAKEAWAY: Under this framework, hydrogen production for local or in-house consumption will probably not be eligible for subsidies. Some argue that hydrogen – whether liquid or compressed gas – releases carbon when transported by trucks and such big projects defeat the purpose of decarbonization.
Obayashi and EG form JV to build hydrogen power plant in New Zealand
(Company statement, Nov 13)
Asahi Kasei, Gentari, and JGC start FEED for hydrogen project in Malaysia
(Japan NRG, Nov 15)
TAKEAWAY: METI aims to bring down hydrogen cost to ¥30/ Nm3 by 2030, but according to one consumer, green hydrogen trades at ¥5,000/ Nm3. Development of new components to boost electrolysis efficiency, improving endurance and maintenance and increasing system life cycles, are key focus areas to cut capital costs, Asahi Kasei told Japan NRG.
ENEOS and Air Liquide to develop hydrogen projects
(Company statement, Nov 15)
IHI shows world’s highest capacity H2 recirculation system for aircraft fuel cells
(Company statement, Nov 13)
JR Central to begin test runs of hydrogen trains
(Company statement, Nov 16)
Iwatani to produce hydrogen from plastic waste
(Japan NRG, Nov 14)
Japan, U.S. hold economic “two plus two” to strengthen IPEF
(Government statement, Nov 16)
Ube-based chemical firms launch decarbonization initiatives
(Nikkei, Nov 14)
TAKEAWAY: UBE runs two coal power plants in the prefecture, but it is also a major ammonia producer. However, UBE hasn’t yet revealed how it will meet growing energy sector demand. UBE told Japan NRG that it has no plan to introduce ammonia co-firing at the power plants, but it will develop an ammonia-fueled cement kiln.
MHI invests with Element Energy for energy storage
(Company statement, Nov 15)
JFE Steel opens test facility for ammonia tank
(Company statement, Nov 16)
TAKEAWAY: Steelmakers and tank manufacturers are divided on SCC. Some say chrome-nickel stainless steel (SUS304 grade) is acceptable. The de facto standard for steel used in hydrogen systems is chrome-nickel-molybdenum steel (SUS316), which has stronger anti-corrosion properties than SUS304. Idemitsu plans to use its LPG tanks, made of carbon steel, for ammonia storage. The Clean Fuel Ammonia Association proposes tanks made of pressed concrete that do not exist in Japan.
IHI receives order for methanation system from NGK Insulators
(Company statement, Nov 8)
Key broadcast stations disclose production carbon footprint
(Japan NRG, Nov 16)
TAKEAWAY: Some TV sponsors are demanding full carbon footprint disclosures and this is also pushing broadcast networks to stronger climate initiatives. Virtual reality technologies are also spreading in commercial production. According to Dentsu, emissions from VR programs are nearly half of real-life filming.
Satellite data useful in CO2 counts: MoE
(Government statement, Nov 17)
Hitachi partners with securities companies for digital environment credits
(Company statement, Nov 16)
Sumitomo Forestry to develop woody biomass chemical products with GEI
(Company statement, Nov 15)
Toyota Motor partners with startup on battery recycling at new U.S. factory
(Nikkei, Nov 17)
KEPCO to work with Vertical Aerospace on e-VTOL charging facilities
(Company statement, Nov 15)
METI sets price cap for Round 3 of offshore wind auctions
(Government statement, Nov 14)
TAKEAWAY: Japan’s decision to decrease the auction cap price is at odds with evidence in other markets that suggests inflation and rising materials costs are pushing up developer costs. However, Japan’s original prices were more generous than in other markets and the latest price cap change is small. Feedback from industry players may yet adjust the auction parameters.
Offshore wind eyed in the EEZ, Japan prepares for deployment in multiple areas
(Government statement, Nov 15)
Carbon credit market reaches 12,000 tons; TSE to further boost liquidity
(Denki Shimbun, Nov 14)
TAKEAWAY: It’s hard to make an assessment of a new market sector from its first month in action, but initial numbers seem good. The key to enhancing liquidity seems to lie in how buyers and sellers reach agreement on prices and how to increase the creation of credits. The introduction of govt auctions and market makers will expedite volume building as brokers look to expand their business. Still, there is a cautious mood in the market. Some worry about the limited scope of J-Credits and the perceived low incentives for buyers. Others point to recent negative media attention to carbon credits in other countries and uncertainty over this sector’s future. If Japan can build a reputation for allowing trading of only easily verifiable, quality credits, then it could become a regional hub for credits.
TEPCO addresses counter-terrorism measures at Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPP
(Nikkei, Nov 14)
TAKEAWAY: NRA chairman Yamanaka said the inspections are about to end, and a report will be completed. Also, the NRA will announce its decision regarding TEPCO’s ability to operate the plant. In theory, there is a chance that the plant will be able to restart before year’s end. Still, TEPCO needs local approval, and this may take a considerable amount of time.
KEPCO seeks extension of operation of nuclear power plants to improve efficiency
(Nikkei, Nov 15)
TAKEAWAY: This move could potentially reduce demand for coal and goal for the utility.
MHI wins contract for Monju site research reactor
(Denki Shimbun, Nov 17)
Hitachi wins order for the next-gen Central Power Supply Command Center
(Japan NRG, Nov 16)
TAKEAWAY: This is one step toward improving the efficiency of Japan’s power grids by elevating decision-making to the national level, rather than resolving balancing and other grid issues at a regional level. The goal is to achieve nationwide merit-order-based, demand-supply adjustment while taking into account congestion on inter-regional transmission lines and local systems.
PowerX’s PPA service to supply energy at night with solar power saved during day
(Company statement, Nov 15)
Orix inks one of Japan’s largest PPAs to supply airports with solar power
(Company statement, Nov 15)
Hitachi to upgrade massive HVDC transmission system in Brazil
(Company statement, Nov 9)
Tokyo Metro govt chooses Idemitsu subsidiary as clean energy supplier
(Japan NRG, Nov 13)
Vena Energy, Tokyo’s marine university unveil tech for use in offshore wind projects
(Company Statement, Nov 13)
GPI to start of Japan’s first large-scale offshore wind farm using jacket foundation
(Company statement, Nov 16)
Opinion: As Japan aims to decarbonize, it needs to cut CRM reliance on China
(Toyo Keizai, Nov 14)
MOL signs long-term charter contract for LNG carrier with JERA-founded company
(Japan NRG, Nov 13)
LNG stocks reach 2.42 million tons, up 2%
(Government data, Nov 15)
October oil/ gas/ coal trade statistics
(Government data, Nov 16)
Imports |
Volume |
YoY |
Value (Yen) |
YoY |
LNG |
5.4 million tons |
6.4% |
¥496 billion |
-37.6% |
Crude oil |
11.7 million kiloliters |
-7.3% |
¥1.015 trillion |
-16.8% |
Thermal coal |
8.6 million tons |
-5.1% |
¥244 billion |
-52.4% |
BY FILIPPO PEDRETTI
Japan’s Spent Nuclear Fuel Dilemma: KEPCO Seeks a Solution
As Japan’s nuclear power industry faces a rebirth after nearly a decade of dormancy, nuclear waste disposal is now a priority issue. There are roughly 19,000 metric tons of radioactive material stored on-site at power plants across Japan, accounting for 80% of capacity. Finding a solution is not just a matter of safety – there are politics involved.
No one is as deeply embroiled in the drama as Kansai Electric (KEPCO). It is Japan’s largest nuclear power operator and the most reliant utility on the atom for electricity. Worse, it has made a commitment to the prefecture that houses all of its nuclear stations to relocate all of its nuclear waste elsewhere. That’s a promise that KEPCO is finding harder and harder to keep as a key deadline approaches.
Within the next six weeks, KEPCO must decide on at least an “interim” storage site that can accommodate its spent nuclear fuel for several decades (before it can move to a final waste depository deep underground). Should it fail to do so, then three of KEPCO’s reactors are at risk of being asked to shut down. While that’s unlikely in the middle of winter’s peak energy demand season, there’s certainly a sense of urgency among KEPCO top management.
Recently, reports have surfaced that the company has identified potentially suitable sites for an interim solution, followed by vaguely positive government comments. But there’s nothing official, as yet. Local government officials, no matter how sympathetic, will lose face should they allow KEPCO to ignore its own 2023 deadline to present a plan for removing the waste from Fukui Pref.
What happens to KEPCO will have an impact on the nuclear sector nationwide.
Spent nuclear fuel and storage facilities
Nuclear power relies on fuel made from pellets, which are hardened forms of processed uranium ore. After being utilized within a nuclear reactor for about four years, this fuel is removed as it no longer contains sufficient power levels. However, it still emits radioactivity and heat, and thus needs to be disposed of according to strict regulations.
The initial approach toward spent fuel involves placing it in on-site pools that are at least six meters deep, which are designed to cool the spent fuel and prevent radiation from escaping. Water is effective at blocking gamma rays and neutron radiation.
Pool for spent nuclear fuel storage
Source: KEPCO
Originally, these pools were intended only for short-term storage, with the plan to eventually transport the spent fuel to off-site locations for reprocessing — to extract plutonium, purify it, and recycle up to 95-97% of the material into new fuel. However, technical challenges have caused delays in the reprocessing agenda. METI notes that storage at power plants is reaching capacity, with about 80% of space already in use. This has led to safety concerns.
As an alternative, Japan is utilizing centralized “interim storage facilities” to house spent fuel, which alleviates the pressure on storage capacities at reactor sites. The idea is for the interim hubs to act as a placeholder until Japan identifies a final nuclear waste storage site deep underground.
One such interim facility is in operation in Mutsu, close to Rokkasho, which primarily stores spent fuel from the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO).
Interim storage facility.
SOURCE: KEPCO
KEPCO’s commitment in Fukui Prefecture
Fukui Prefecture houses seven of KEPCO’s nuclear reactors:
– Mihama nuclear power station’s three units, (1.67 GW total capacity);
– Takahama nuclear power station’s four units, (3.39 GW);
– Oi nuclear power station’s three units, (4.71 GW).
The used nuclear fuel is stored in the NPP’s pools, which are set to be full in about four to seven years. Their capacity has reached 77% at Mihama, 80% at Takahama, and 87% at Oi.
In the late 1990s, KEPCO made a commitment to locate a temporary waste storage facility outside the prefecture. The target date was set for late 2018, but later deferred to 2020; now it has been extended to the end of 2023. If not accomplished, this could lead to the shutdown of three reactors (Units 1 and 2 at Takahama, and Unit 3 at the Mihama).
With no immediate solution in sight, KEPCO decided to get creative. On June 12, KEPCO’s president, Mori Nozomu, informed Fukui Governor Sugimoto Tatsuji of their plan to transport 200 tons of spent nuclear fuel from Takahama to France for research purposes. KEPCO asserted that this was in line with their commitment, because the agreement didn’t specify any geographical restrictions on “outside the prefecture”.
The proposed amount to be sent to France represents 5% of the total spent fuel from the three nuclear plants in Fukui Prefecture. However, regional lawmakers are skeptical of Mori’s assurances. But METI Minister Nishimura supports Mori, stating that KEPCO’s approach was on a par with its pledge to find a temporary storage solution.
KEPCO’s current plans
In theory, nuclear operators like KEPCO should be able to send their spent fuel rods to a reprocessing plant in Japan that would recycle the useful parts and use them to make new fuel and leave behind a much smaller waste footprint. The problem is, Japan’s fuel reprocessing site in Rokkasho Village is not yet online.
So, in October 2023, KEPCO proposed a revised plan. The first measure calls for training specialists who can ensure the completion of the Rokkasho reprocessing plant so that it can hopefully be operational by 2025. Then, by 2030, it will gradually achieve an annual capacity of 800 tons of spent nuclear fuel.
Japan’s closed nuclear fuel cycle program.
Source: The Federation of Electric Power Companies in Japan (FEPC)
In collaboration with power utilities, industrial manufacturers, and construction firms, Japan Nuclear Fuel Ltd (JNFL) is leading the effort to finalize construction of such a reprocessing facility. KEPCO has already assigned inspectors to assist with JNFL’s oversight and inspection and it plans to train more specialists.
Second, from FY2027-FY2029, about 200 tons of the spent nuclear fuel will be sent to France’s nuclear fuel cycle company Orano for research on reprocessing spent MOX (mixed oxide) fuel, specifically to see if MOX can be reprocessed in a sufficiently cost effective way that makes commercial sense.
Thirdly, KEPCO plans to begin use of a yet-to-be-determined mid-term storage facility by 2030. Until it becomes operational, the company intends to minimize the storage volume of spent nuclear fuel at its plants by adopting the two aforementioned strategies.
Also, studies are underway for a possible mid-term storage in Kaminoseki (Yamaguchi Prefecture). This will be a collaboration between KEPCO and Chugoku Electric, which needs a solution for spent nuclear fuel from Shimane NPP, whose Unit 2 last year received the green light for restart. A final decision on this facility’s location has not yet been made.
Half-kept promises and Japan’s nuclear strategy
Since October 13 when Governor Sugimoto Tatsuji of Fukui Prefecture approved KEPCO’s amended strategy for disposal of spent nuclear fuel, the company can now extend operations of its three local reactors that have been running for over 40 years. This decision, however, has incited a backlash from the regional legislature.
The plan looks overly optimistic, and many are concerned that it lacks a concrete proposal for a location for the temporary storage facility. While the company reaffirmed its commitment to find a location and begin operation by 2030, there are fears that the spent nuclear fuel will remain within the prefecture for many years to come.
The central element of KEPCO’s plan – the Rokkasho reprocessing plant – has been repeatedly delayed for 25 years. Compounding the problem is that the NRA’s Chairman Yamanaka says that the review of the Rokkasho plant does not have a set finish date, since the facility must undergo additional upgrades before completion.
Meanwhile, KEPCO has sought approval from the NRA to extend the lifespan of Takahama NPP’s No. 1 reactor, the country’s oldest, beyond its 50-year operational limit set for November 2024. The company wants to have the reactor operating up to its 60th year.
The challenges faced by KEPCO and the entire nuclear industry in managing spent nuclear fuel are emblematic of a larger issue that casts a shadow over Japan’s ambition to revitalize its nuclear sector. The complex plans and deferred deadlines for dealing with nuclear waste are undermining the national strategy to reinvigorate the nuclear industry at a moment when Japan desperately needs to increase carbon-free power generation capacity.
Moreover, KEPCO’s apparent disconnect between the company’s promises and fulfillment of its commitments does little to foster local acceptance of nuclear policy. If Japan will successfully navigate the sensitive path of nuclear energy reliance, then it must demonstrate more effective, transparent, and timely strategies for spent fuel management that align with the safety concerns and expectations of local communities and stakeholders.
BY ANDREW STATTER
Jobs in Japan: Non-compete Clauses, Do They Hold Up?
Non-compete, non-scout, confidentiality and ‘garden leave’ clauses appear in employment contracts worldwide, and Japan is no exception. How valid are these clauses in the Japanese market? What can companies do to protect their trade secrets and confidential information? And should employees be concerned about having such clauses in their employment contracts?
Employee protection is favored
Generally speaking, employees in Japan are very well protected, and both laws and courts tend to lean toward protecting the rights of individuals rather than the company. This stance is also seen when looking at dismissals, Japan is a notoriously hard market to fire people and companies must take clear steps toward dismissal with a verifiable paper trail. This is the opposite of Taiwan, where typically courts will rule in favor of protecting company interests.
As the Japanese constitution gives individuals the right to choose their job and employer freely, it requires a very clear and well-structured case for a company to restrict an employee from working for a competitor once their employment is terminated.
According to a publication on the topic by Nishimura & Asahi (1), the company will need to prove a clear necessity to restrict an employee from joining a competitor to protect the company’s interests. Key points that are considered by a Japanese court will be:
As with many laws and regulations in Japan, the lines are not black and white, and are rather opaque and open to interpretation. Generally, wide and vague non-competes without a clear definition on the scope of activities to be limited tend not to be upheld. Another key point to consider is that non-competes which don’t clearly specify a time period and a compensation structure during also tend to rule in favor of the employee.
The first and second points are also key to consider when deciding whether to try and enforce a non-compete or let the employee leave to a competitor unchallenged. For example, a senior leader in your firm who is leaving to a competitor in the same tender bid or RFP process, and could therefore clearly cause a loss of business, will be much easier to enforce than a more mid-level employee leaving after said tender bid or RFP is submitted or won.
Points for employers on non-compete clauses
Be specific. A broad brush, one size fits all non-compete will fail to hold up more often than it will be upheld. Ensure that the length of ‘garden leave’, and compensation offered during that period are clearly stated in the employment contract as well, because omitting this is one of the leading causes of a non-compete being declared out of line with labor law and/or constitution.
Review and update non-compete clauses as employees move into new, and more senior positions in your company. The scope that was covered when a person was in charge of early stage project development will be significantly different from the scope if they are promoted to lead a competitive project bid.
Keep other clauses designed to protect your business separate from the non-compete. Data protection, confidentiality, non-scout, intellectual property clauses, etc, do not have the same protections from the Japanese constitution and therefore are highly enforceable.
https://www.nishimura.com/sites/default/files/images/80459.pdf
Points for employees looking to leave
Look at how specific your non-compete is, and consider the nature, specificity, depth of competitive information you currently possess, and how much potential damage it could cause your current employer at this given moment in time. Check for specifics on ‘garden leave’ and compensation, as this may affect enforceability. If you’re not sure, take the time to consult with a labor lawyer.
Don’t sign anything new! It’s quite common that once you hand in your resignation, the company wishes to enforce the non-compete. However, they are aware that in most cases, what’s written in your employment contract is too broad, vague and will not stand up in court. Often in these cases the company will bring a new, much more strongly structured non-compete to the table and attempt to have you sign and agree to this. You have no obligation to sign this, and bear in mind that if you do, that new document will be used against you if the case proceeds to legal action. In many cases it is advisable to sign nothing new, as the original non-compete is likely weaker than what the company produces at resignation timing.
Ignore cease and desist letters. Before taking legal action, a company or their legal firm may send you a letter threatening legal action. They may or may not follow through, this is very much case by case, however by responding to such letters you are acknowledging receipt, and depending on your response, may be providing evidence that you are knowingly violating a legal obligation. Bottom line, if they are going to take legal action, it will happen anyway, so don’t give them anything else to build a case against you.
Don’t poke the bear. Generally speaking, it’s hard for your ex-employer to stop you working at the new employer. On the other hand, it’s much easier for them to chase you for poaching employees, customer accounts, or using competitive information against them. Same as your ex-girlfriend can’t really stop you dating her friend, but she can certainly sue you for stealing her belongings on the way out the door!
Bottom line: Talk to a professional
As mentioned above, labor law, like many regulations in Japan, is opaque and open to interpretation. Though in most cases a general non-compete won’t be easily enforceable, there are cases where you can protect your company’s interests and will have a court rule in your favor. Also, in most cases the threats upon exit from a company are more bark than bite, there are cases where due to legitimate business or even personal reasons a company will aggressively look to uphold a non-compete or other protectionist clauses.
Disclaimer: Titan is not a certified legal advisor, and our advice is intended to be used as a guideline, and not to be taken as legal advice. If, as either an employer or employee, you wish to attain quality legal advice on labor issues, Titan can put you in touch with registered Japanese labor law firms through their partner network.
BY JOHN VAROLI
This new weekly column will replace Global View and will focus on energy events in Asia and those that directly impact markets in the region.
China / Coal power
As of January, China will start guaranteeing payments to coal-fired power plants based on installed capacity. The state planner, the NDRC, said that most thermal power plants would be able to recover about 30% of their capital costs in the next two years.
Fossil fuel demand
Demand for oil and natural gas, especially LNG, will stay strong for decades, driven by population growth and industrialization in economies across Asia, said Woodside Energy CEO Meg O’Neill. Asian countries will secure fossil fuel supplies as they simultaneously boost renewables in their power mix.
Indonesia / CCS
ExxonMobil will invest up to $15 billion in a petrochemical project and carbon capture and storage (CCS) facilities in Indonesia. Also, Exxon and Indonesia’s Pertamina agreed to evaluate $2 billion in CCS using two underground basins in the Java Sea. It would store at least 3 gigatons of CO2 emitted by industries in Indonesia and the region.
Indonesia / Floating solar
President Widodo inaugurated a 192 MW floating solar power plant on a reservoir in West Java. The $109 million project was developed by PLN Nusantara Power, a unit of Indonesia’s state utility PLN.
Indonesia / Renewable power
State utility Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) plans to build an additional 31.6 GW of renewable power capacity between 2024 and 2033. This would represent 75% of the additional generation for the period, while the remaining capacity is expected to come from natural gas power plants.
LNG exports
North American LNG exports will more than double by 2027 to meet growing Asian demand. There are a total of 10 new projects in Canada, Mexico and the U.S.; production will expand to 24.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) from the current 11.4 Bcf/d, as Mexico and Canada start their first LNG export terminals and the U.S. adds to existing LNG capacity.
LNG transport
Shipping of LNG from the U.S. to Asia is now more expensive due to increased transportation costs. The Panama Canal, through which much LNG travels from the Gulf coast to Asia, plans to reduce the number of slots due to a severe drought, as 2023 ranks as the second driest year.
Philippines / Nuclear power
Major power distributor Manila Electric will work with U.S.-based Ultra Safe Nuclear Corp to explore setting up small nuclear reactors. The two companies will undertake a pre-feasibility study to use micro-modular reactors, in which they will estimate the environmental impact, investment and operating costs.
SAF
Addressing the Assembly of Presidents of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines, Subhash Menon said a global framework that enables the cost-effective supply of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is crucial for aviation to attain its net zero emissions goal by 2050. He called on governments, fuel producers, airports, etc to work together.
Southeast Asia
Southeast Asia continues to rely heavily on fossil fuels, which contributed 83% of its energy mix in 2020; just 14.2% came from renewables, according to the ASEAN Center for Energy. Unless governments introduce green policy initiatives, fossil fuels could account for 88% of the region’s energy supply by 2050.
A selection of domestic and international events we believe will have an impact on Japanese energy
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NEWS
・Japan targets technology shift to make CCS cheaper; to create new ships and tanks
・Sekisui Chemical to install 1 MW perovskite power system on high-rise building
・METI sets price cap for Round 3 of offshore wind auctions